Adapting to change: More trailers over tractors

Trailers

The capacity crunch is driving carriers to buy more trailers than trucks. Here’s how the shift is impacting the transportation environment.

As the 2020 holiday season comes into focus, it’s becoming clearer that the uptick in e-commerce orders, the persistent supply chain shortages, and reduced transportation capacity could turn into a “perfect storm” of challenges for companies across many industries.

“The 2020 holiday shopping season will close out an intense, unpredictable year for retailers and consumers alike,” the National Retail Federation (NRF) writes. “With ebbs and flows in retail sales and COVID-19 infection rates, retailers are entering an unprecedented holiday season.”

NRF expects 2020 retail sales overall to grow by 3.5%-4.1% to over $3.9 trillion despite uncertainty from the lingering trade war, coronavirus, and the presidential election. The U.S. e-commerce sector has become a force of its own during this period. Already growing year-over-year, U.S. e-commerce sales grew by 43% in September 2020 after increasing by 42% the prior month.

“Both FedEx Corp. and United Parcel Service Inc. have told some of their largest shippers that most of their capacity is already spoken for and that any extra trailers with holiday orders will have to wait to be picked up, according to shipping consultants and retailers,” WSJ reports.

“Overloaded carriers are struggling to keep up with the expected surge in online orders during the peak holiday season.”

Managing the Frenzy

The trucking industry has been thrown into a frenzy as it works to address current challenges while also preparing both for the looming holiday shipping season and for what 2021 will bring. E-commerce velocity, for example, is expected to remain strong into the coming year as—even when COVID is no longer a threat—more consumers shop online versus visiting brick-and-mortar stores.

To adjust to these new realities, carriers appear to be acquiring more trailers than trucks right now. “Tender rejection rates continue to hover around all-time highs as carriers struggle to cover the recent freight boom, driving rates and revenues higher,” Freightwaves reports. “The last time this occurred carriers rushed to purchase record amounts of equipment in 2018. But this time around, trailers are the equipment of choice over tractors.”

The publication says preliminary trailer orders for September will be the third-highest month in history at 52,000 units. “This is part of a five-month trend of increasing dry van trailer orders that began in May of this year,” it says, noting that for the year overall, trailer orders are growing in relation to tractor orders.

“Trucking companies are having to adapt like many other businesses to an environment filled with questions about the near future. Investing in trailers over tractors is a far safer bet due to lower costs and the fact that they do not have to hire a driver to utilize them,” Freightwaves points out.

“The growth in trailers over tractors suggests carriers are more willing to drop empty and loaded trailers at shippers and their consignees instead of waiting at their facilities,” it adds. Under “normal” circumstances, carriers pick up loaded trailers after placing the empty ones—a process known as “drop and hook.”

Drop and hook is easier to manage if the carrier has spare trailers to work with as it “leads to fewer wait times that drain driver productivity,” Freightwaves explains. “This is also good for social distancing, which may also be contributing to the trailer pool growth.”

“Trucks aren’t Where the Loads are”

Commenting on the rush to acquire trailers that’s happening right now, DAT iQ’s Dean Croke told Talk Business & Politics that the old adage, “Trucks aren’t where the loads are,” is applicable right now because trucks are more likely to be running more empty miles and spending more time at the loading dock. “There’s a tendency to move light loads to drop trailers,” Croke says, “creating a backlog of equipment through networks.”

“When you’ve got a massive influx of e-commerce freight on a loading dock on the inbound side, you’ve got a big back up of trailers,” he continues. “The trailer people are telling us they’ve never had a higher utilization level of their trailers because they are both in demand and being used as on-site storage as they try to process this surge in demand.”

Transportation Innovation For a Future-Proof Supply Chain

Supply chain experts and software leaders converge to discuss the current transportation environment and provide valuable tips on what companies should be doing now to get ready for what’s coming next. 

Transportation and logistics.
What happens when you bring supply chain software leaders, a Berkeley professor, and a top Gartner researcher together in one “virtual” room to talk about the current and future state of the world’s supply chains? You get a full view of what’s going on right now and engaging insights into what companies should be doing currently to reevaluate and future-proof their supply chains.

In a new Berkeley Innovation X webinar, Bart De Muynck of Gartner, Berkeley Professor Robert Leachman, PINC’s Matt Yearling, ORBCOMM’s Ashish Chona, and Christian Piller, VP of Project44 discuss the current market realities, the role that automation is playing in today’s logistics networks, and the rapid changes currently happening in the supply chain.

According to De Munyck, Gartner research shows that the current pandemic is the top supply risk for 2020. “This disruption is the biggest challenge that anyone has seen for most generations,” he says. “It has hit us like nothing we’ve ever seen before in supply chain and it has affected all countries, all industries, and all companies worldwide.”

However, besides the pandemic, logistics and transportation in general are ongoing challenges and still present a lot of other risks, including:

  • Consumers are behaving differently
  • Increasing demand for transportation
  • Increasing demand for last-mile
  • Increasing truckload rates
  • Increasing parcel rates
  • Carrier bankruptcies affecting capacity
  • Increasing carrier cost and verdicts
  • Increased use of digitized freight networks
  • Increased use of technology

“The pandemic has certainly accelerated the digitization strategies of all corporations,” Yearling says, adding that the event also accelerated the shift to online commerce and pushed the need to align inventory to demand.

“There’s been a lot of consolidation and investment in the industry, because it is still highly fragmented and has room for technology enablement,” Yearling continues. “It’s inherent upon us to make sure we come together in the industry for the benefit of the joint customer.”

Unlocking Operational Efficiency

According to Piller, this is the first time in history that the supply chain has had a place in the boardroom and is now part of mainstream conversations. The consumer has driven at least some of this increased awareness of supply chain in the broader scheme of things. “More people are working from home and wondering why packages are taking a little longer to arrive,” Piller says.

Once the threat of COVID passes, companies need to be thinking about how they can create data-driven supply chain planning and management processes. Transportation management will pay a key role in this evolution. “Companies need an integrated view of the inbound and outbound networks across all modes,” Piller explains.

“Just planning all of the shipments you have in one unified central planner versus having a few different ways to plan transportation,” he continues, “will unlock a lot of operational efficiency, cost efficiency, and performance improvements.”

Piller also tells companies to put their customers at the center of the conversation when making these shifts. In fact, he advocates for starting from the customer and then working backward to find the best solutions. Focus on solving your customers’ problems and “doing something that redefines an experience, provides a new experience, or makes the customer feel better about interacting with you,” Piller adds.

Strengthening Supply Chains

Chona says the pandemic has highlighted the weakness in the supply chain and it’s made people aware that they are dependent on other parts of the world for products that they use today. Now, supply chain managers and executives are looking to retool their supply chains in the wake of COVID.

One potential area of improvement can be found in “lean,” or the pre-COVID approach of only keeping enough inventory on hand to fulfill orders during a specific period of time. As we all learned by the great toilet paper shortage of 2020, this strategy doesn’t always play out well during times of crisis.

“Maybe we should start thinking that it’s okay to have some excess inventory during a pandemic when you’re trying to serve the community,” says Chona, “even though in the past we tried to cut down inventory to be leaner.”

The key is to find the right balance between resiliency, efficiency, and agility. That’s where technology steps in to help, with digitization, automation, the Internet of Things (IoT), mobility, and robotics coming together to help solidify and strengthen the world’s supply chains. Information-sharing is equally as critical, says Chona, who points out that an equal system of partners sharing information ultimately benefits the end customer. “Information sharing in transportation is very critical.”

The Four Stages of Recovery

Wrapping up the webinar, De Muynck shared his thoughts on how the industry is innovating and highlighted Gartner’s four stages of recovery (and the technology that corresponds with each). Here’s a snapshot:

1st – React and respond

  • Transportation visibility
  • Digitized freight platforms

2nd – Redirect to new realities

  • Transportation management
  • Multi-carrier parcel management

3rd – Rebound to the future

  • Driver management
  • Yard management

4th – Accelerate opportunities

  • Network design and modeling solutions
  • Advanced analytics

“Once this crisis is out of the way, we still won’t be able to go back to our old ways,” De Muynck concludes. “Things are going to come at us much faster, and we’ll need agility and flexibility to be able to react accordingly.”